Patriots Over Under Wins 2018

Patriots Over Under Wins 2018 3,8/5 1111 reviews

In the aftermath of the NFL draft, Las Vegas sports books released their win projections for every team for the upcoming 2018 season. Touchdown Wire breaks down all 32 teams, taking a look at the good, the bad and the Cleveland.

  1. Patriots Over Under Wins 2018 Predictions
  2. Patriots Over Under Wins 2018 2019
  3. Patriots Over Under Wins 2018 Nfl
  • 2018 New England Patriots Statistics & Players: Super Bowl LIII Champs over, 11-5 (po:3-0) (1st in AFC East), Coach: Bill Belichick, ProBowl: Brady, Gilmore.
  • Over/unders for the New England Patriots 2018 season, including total wins, Tom Brady passing stats, Sony Michel yards.
  • OVER 12.5 (-150) UNDER 12.5 (+120) If you think the Chiefs are going to win 13 or more games, you would take the OVER. Conversely, if you think they’ll win 12 or fewer games, you would bet the UNDER. The numbers in brackets are the actual odds. For instance, if you lay down $100 on the OVER at -150. If Kansas City wins 13 games, you’d get a.
  • Feb 04, 2018 Odd Shark's predicts New England will win the game, 29.3-16.9. They also favored the Patriots by 4.5 points. The best over for Super Bowl 52 is 48 (-105), and the best under is 48.5 (-105).

The 2018 New England Patriots season was the franchise's 49th season in the National Football League, the 59th overall, and the 19th under head coach Bill Belichick.The Patriots entered the season as two-time defending AFC champions.

Wins

No surprises here: The highest win totals belong to the four winningest teams of 2017 and a Green Bay team that returns Aaron Rodgers. If 10.5 seems low for the Vikings, Patriots, Eagles and Steelers – four teams that each went 13-3 last year – it is, but remember that each team’s win total isn’t necessarily a prediction on how oddsmakers think teams will do, but a projection of what they think the public believes. Ideally, they want a 50/50 split on over bets and under bets. Put a normal team at 11.5 wins and you’re inviting bettors to hammer the under. (Only 13 teams since 2001 have had their total set at 11.5 wins or higher.)

The Patriots over/under was set at 12.5 last season, the highest total in all that time. (That was a half-win better than the team’s over/under in 2008, the year after their 16-0 season). No matter how highly you regard Bill Belichick and Tom Brady, predicting a team to win more than 12.5 games is the height of imprudence. So, of course, New England hit the over, winning 13 games.

What about this year? A look at the juice* suggests that action is on the Pats to go over 10.5 wins (they’ve done it 14 of the last 16 years), the Packers to go under (it’s happened four of the last five years) and an even split for the Vikings (a new quarterback in Kirk Cousins, so buyer beware), the Steelers (they’ve won 11+ games in eight of Ben Roethlisberger’s 14 seasons) and the Eagles (of the last 10 reigning Super Bowl champions, six finished with a win total of 11 or more in the year of their title defense. None had a losing record though, so expect Philly to be close either way.

* A bettor would have to wager $175 to win $100 on the Patriots over. Conversely, a $100 bet on the Packers under would net $145.

The NFL Divisional round is in the books, so For The Win’s Charles Curtis and Steven Ruiz are back with another slate of NFL picks. All odds courtesy of Bovada…

RECAP (INCLUDING OVER/UNDER PICKS)

Steven: 3-5 (120-117-11, postseason: 7-9)
Charles: 3-5 (104-127-11, postseason: 7-9)

Steven: Underdogs have dominated in these playoffs, and — SPOILER ALERT! — I think that trend continues.

Charles: Betting against Nick Foles and Blake Bortles turned out to be the wrong call. What a crazy weekend!

Jaguars at Patriots (-9) (O/U: 46)

Steven: I understand not wanting to bet on Blake Bortles going up against a Bill Belichick team. It’s almost blasphemous to do so. But, I’m going to make an exception here because Jacksonville is a terrible matchup for New England. That defense is going to give Tom Brady problems, and Leonard Fournette should have a big day whether the Patriots load up the box or not. New England wins a close one. I’ll say 23-17.

Patriots

Charles: If the Jags can put up 45 points — 45 POINTS — against the Steelers, who have a better defense than the Patriots, then can they repeat that again? The X-factor here, naturally, is Bill Belichick. He’ll find a way to keep Leonard Fournette relatively grounded and to force Bortles into throwing a ton. It’s the flip side that should have Belichick concerned: Can his team’s offense find a way against the stout Jacksonville secondary? Ultimately, I think the Pats emerge with a win, but I suspect it’s closer than nine, something like a 24-20 victory, which means I’ll take the under as well.

Patriots Over Under Wins 2018 Predictions

Vikings at Eagles (+3.5) (O/U: 39)

Patriots Over Under Wins 2018 2019

Steven: Let’s get this out of the way: I’m hitting the under hard. Both of these defenses are equipped to take out the opposing offense. As for the pick, I still think we’re selling the Eagles short here. I picked them last week based on that defensive line and I’ll take them again this week. Philly not only covers but wins straight-up in a 10-9 slugfest.

Patriots Over Under Wins 2018 Nfl

Charles: Ugh, Vegas delivered the perfect spread here. Bookmakers just dared you to back Nick Foles and bet against the Vikings’ stifling defense completely dismantling the Eagles’ offense. They’re also wondering if you can stomach the Vikes winning by more than a field goal with Case Keenum on the road facing Philly’s uber-tough pass rush. After going back and forth a bunch, I landed on the simplest explanation: The Vikings defense keeps Jay Ajayi from breaking out and the secondary picks off Foles three times. Minnesota 21, Philadelphia 10.